| Market | EV | Pick | Confidence | Closes | Trade | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +% Grok estimates the true probability is % higher than what the market currently implies. | The outcome Grok predicts will win this market. | Trade → | ||||||
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Grok's Reasoning |
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| No open predictions right now. Next scan runs within 4 hours. | ||||||||
| Date | Market | EV | Pick | Confidence | Stake | Result | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +% | Pending | — | ||||||
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Grok's Reasoning Outcome:
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| No bets found for this period. | ||||||||
Total Resolved
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gibEV uses state-of-the-art AI reasoning to find genuine edges on Polymarket — scanning thousands of markets every hour so you don't have to.
Powered by xAI's Grok reasoning model — one of the most capable AI systems available — to evaluate probabilities with deep contextual understanding.
Every call requires a minimum expected value threshold before it's published. No longshots, no sports coin-flips — only markets where the AI sees a genuine probability edge.
Markets are scanned every hour across crypto, politics, economics and current events — so edges are caught early, before the market corrects.
Market Scan
Every hour, gibEV pulls all active Polymarket markets and filters for high-liquidity, non-sports events with meaningful time remaining.
AI Pre-Screening
A fast AI model quickly dismisses markets with no obvious mispricing, keeping costs down and ensuring only promising markets reach deep analysis.
Deep Reasoning
Grok's full reasoning model estimates the true probability of each outcome using its knowledge of world events, base rates, and market context.
EV Gate & Sizing
Expected value is calculated independently from Grok's probability. Only bets clearing the EV threshold are published, with stake sizes based on edge strength.
Full transparency. Every call, win, and loss is published publicly. No cherry-picking — you see everything the system bets on.
Growing track record. The system is actively building its history. Results and accuracy improve as more markets are resolved.
Continuously improving. Filtering, prompting, and stake sizing are actively tuned based on real results — this system gets better over time.
Not financial advice. gibEV is a research and tracking tool. Trade responsibly and only with money you can afford to lose.